The Importance of Compound Interest and Tax Planning on Your Portfolio

Benjamin Franklin famously once said that “Money makes money. And the money that money makes, makes more money.” He was referring to compound interest. When interest you earn on a balance in a savings or investment account is reinvested, you earn even more money. You aren’t just earning interest on your principal balance; you are earning interest on your interest as well.

For example, if you make a one-time investment of $10,000, then earn 9% per year, the chart below shows the power of compounding your money. After 10 years. the initial $10,000 investment would be worth more than $24,000 — and after 30 years, it would be worth more than $133,000.

Chart showing returns on compound interest versus simple interest over time
Source: Investor.gov, as of November 4, 2021. This hypothetical example assumes the following: (1) starting investment of $10,000; (2) no additional pre-tax contributions; (3) an annual rate of return of 9%; (4) the ending values do not reflect taxes, fees or inflation. If they did, amounts would be lower. Earnings and pre-tax contributions are subject to taxes when withdrawn. Distributions before age 59 1/2 may also be subject to a 10% penalty. Contribution amounts are subject to IRS and Plan limits. Systematic investing does not ensure a profit or guarantee against a loss in a declining market. This example is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the performance of any security. Consider your current and anticipated investment horizon when making an investment decision, as the illustration may not reflect this. The assumed rate of return used in this example is not guaranteed. Investments that have potential for 9% annual rate of return also come with risk of loss

There is a shortcut to help you estimate the value of a future investment, called the Rule of 72. It’s a quick way to estimate approximately the number of years it will take to double your money using compound interest. As seen in the chart below, if you earn a 6% compounded return per year on your investment, then in about 12 years your money would be worth double. If you annualize 12% a year for 48 years, $10,000 could turn into over $2,500,000! To use the Rule of 72, simply divide 72 by the expected annual rate of return and that will provide you the number of years it would take to double your investment.

Chart explaining the Rule of 72 as it regards compound interest

Simple interest is interest that is earned based solely on the principal amount and is not reinvested. For example, if you have $1,000 and earn a 5% annual interest rate, you will get $50 a year in simple interest. In the second year, you would earn another $50. To calculate how long it would take to double your money with simple interest, the formula would be 1 divided by the rate of return. For example, if you made the same investment of $1,000 earning 5% simple interest, it would take you 20 years to double your money. Note that if you were able to reinvest the money and have it compounding, then it would take approximately 14.4 years to double.

It is important to consider tax implications prior to making any investment. If an investment is going to pay 10% interest on your principal and is in a taxable account, your actual return may be only 6% if you are in a top tax bracket and the income is taxed as ordinary income. If you are not able to reinvest the income, then the income becomes simple interest, and your money can take even longer to double. Suddenly, the 10% investment return that sounded great may not be nearly as good.

Taxes can dramatically impact your investment portfolio, both in the short and long term. There are different types of taxes on investments, and each one is taxed differently:

• Capital gains are profits from the sale of an asset. If you own the asset for more than one year and you sell for a gain, then you will pay long-term capital gains tax. The rate depends on your income level and can either be 0%, 10% or 20%. If you own the asset less than a year and sell it for a gain, then the gain will be taxed as ordinary income.

• Dividends usually are taxable income in the year that they are received. Even if you reinvest the dividend income, you pay tax on that income that year. There are two types of dividend income – qualified and non-qualified. Non-qualified dividends are taxed as ordinary income. Qualified dividends are taxed at either 0%, 15% or 20%, based on income level. 

• Investments in 401Ks or IRAs allow you to defer taxes while the money is inside the account. Taxes are paid when you make a withdrawal, and that money is then considered ordinary income and is taxed at your income level.

Portfolio design and allocation are very important in order to minimize the tax impact on your returns. Structuring the portfolio to have the least tax-efficient assets in retirement accounts helps ensure that those assets are being taxed at ordinary income levels. The chart below shows the difference that tax management can have in a portfolio over time. If your portfolio is managed inefficiently — if it is heavily traded and focused on short-term gains — a $1 million portfolio could miss out on as much as $500,000 of returns over a 10-year period. Compound interest is an extremely powerful tool — whether it is in a retirement account, such as a 401K or IRA, or a taxable account, earning qualified dividends that are reinvested. 

Chart showing the impact of taxes on investments over 10 years


The CD Wealth Formula

We help our clients reach and maintain financial stability by following a specific plan, catered to each client. 

Our focus remains on long-term investing with a strategic allocation while maintaining a tactical approach. Our decisions to make changes are calculated and well thought out, looking at where we see the economy is heading. We are not guessing or market timing. We are anticipating and moving to those areas of strength in the economy — and in the stock market. 

We will continue to focus on the fact that what really matters right now is time in the market, not out of the market. That means staying the course and continuing to invest, even when the markets dip, to take advantage of potential market upturns. We continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been.

It is important to focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or indicator. Long-term fundamentals are what matter. In markets and moments like these, it is essential to stick to the financial plan. Investing is about following a disciplined process over time.

Sources: Fidelity, Forbes, Investopedia, Russell Investments

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. CD Wealth Management and Bluespring Wealth Partners LLC* are affiliates of Kestra IS and Kestra AS.  Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

*Bluespring Wealth Partners, LLC acquires and supports high quality investment adviser and wealth management companies throughout the United States.

Unpacking the Inflation Reduction Act: How Will It Affect You?

The Build Back Better Act that was so widely discussed at the beginning of the year has come to fruition in the form of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which President Biden signed into law Tuesday. Its objective is to reduce inflation and the deficit, lower drug costs and increase investment in domestic energy production. The outcome of the Inflation Reduction Act will not be known for years to come, of course, but we want to discuss how some important parts of it may affect you.

What’s in the Inflation Reduction Act?

1. The bill introduces a 15% minimum corporate tax that applies to companies generating more than $1 billion in annual profit (based on a three-year average). Congress’ Joint Committee on Taxation estimates that fewer than 150 companies will be subject to the new rate. At the same time, there is a new 1% tax on stock buybacks. A stock buyback, or share repurchase, occurs when a company buys outstanding shares of its own stock to reduce the number of shares available on the open market. One reason companies may do this is to increase the value of the remaining shares available. It is an investment a company makes in itself when it believes its shares are trading too cheaply in the open market. The new 1% tax goes into effect in 2023, which could cause some companies to speed up buying shares this year and “tilt future capital deployment toward dividends,” Wells Fargo says.  

2. The act has the potential to save retirees a significant sum of money on healthcare costs. It allows Medicare to negotiate prices for certain drugs for the first time in 2026 — starting with 10 drugs, then expanding the list to 15 drugs in 2027 and 20 in 2029. The act caps out-of-pocket drug costs at $2,000 a year for Medicare beneficiaries, starting in 2025. Today, there is no cap on what people may spend. The act also caps insulin costs at $35 per month for those on Medicare. Additionally, all vaccines will be covered under Medicare part D. According to a recent study by the Center for Retirement Research, retirees spend about 25% of their Social Security on medical expenses, including Medicare premiums and out-of-pocket costs for prescription drugs.  

3. The Inflation Reduction Act allocates $80 billion over 10 years to increase IRS enforcement on taxpayers with more than $400,000 in income, with the goal to catch more tax cheaters. It is widely believed that this will dramatically increase the need for labor in our country, but with the unemployment rate at 3.5%, the question is: Where will the IRS find the new auditors needed?

Expected Results from the Inflation Reduction Act

REVENUE
15% corporate minimum tax: $313 billion*
Prescription drug pricing reform: $288 billion**
Enhanced IRS tax enforcement: $124 billion**
Total revenue raised: $725 billion

INVESTMENTS
Energy security & climate change investment: $369 billion***
Affordable Care Act extension: $64 billion**
Total investments: $433 billion

TOTAL DEFICIT REDUCTION: $292+ billion

* Joint Committee on Taxation, ** Congressional Budget Office, *** Both

4. The largest investment made by the Act relates to energy security and climate change, with billions of dollars going to expand wind and solar power production. Additional subsidies will be available for purchases of electric vehicles as well as funding for people to install energy-efficient heating and cooling systems in their homes. However, new rules make the EV tax credit harder to get, as there are limits as to the percentage of production that must occur in North America for the cars as well as for batteries. The credit is unavailable if the taxpayer’s adjusted gross income exceeds a threshold amount ($300,000 for taxpayers filing a joint return, $150,000 for single filers). There also is money available to oil companies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and penalties for those that fail to do so.  

No one can predict the long-term results of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022. The good news is that inflation appears to be easing on its own as global supply chain disruptions ease and the Federal Reserve’s tightening of money supply is working. There is little debate, though, that this bill will help reduce the deficit. Retirees stand to benefit heavily from the future reduction in drug costs. The legislation stands to create the single largest investment in climate and energy in the U.S. to date: roughly $369 billion, with estimates of cutting emissions by as much as 40% by 2030. At the end of the day, though, we won’t know for many years how the Inflation Reduction Act affects inflation or corporate profitability.

The CD Wealth Formula

We help our clients reach and maintain financial stability by following a specific plan, catered to each client. 

Our focus remains on long-term investing with a strategic allocation while maintaining a tactical approach. Our decisions to make changes are calculated and well thought out, looking at where we see the economy is heading. We are not guessing or market timing. We are anticipating and moving to those areas of strength in the economy — and in the stock market. 

We will continue to focus on the fact that what really matters right now is time in the market, not out of the market. That means staying the course and continuing to invest, even when the markets dip, to take advantage of potential market upturns. We continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been.

It is important to focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or indicator. Long-term fundamentals are what matter. In markets and moments like these, it is essential to stick to the financial plan. Investing is about following a disciplined process over time.

Sources: CNBC, Investopedia, Financial Planning Magazine, Kestra Investment Management

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. CD Wealth Management and Bluespring Wealth Partners LLC* are affiliates of Kestra IS and Kestra AS.  Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

*Bluespring Wealth Partners, LLC acquires and supports high quality investment adviser and wealth management companies throughout the United States.

Valuable Financial Advice for the Recent College Graduates in Your Life

It’s hard to believe that summer is almost over and it’s time for the kids to go back to school. For many who just graduated from college, it’s time to begin their first real job! As our adult children move from college to the real world, it’s a good time to make sure they are ready to succeed and to be responsible for their own financial lives.

For those who are planning to rent an apartment rather than moving back home after graduation, start-up costs can accumulate quickly, going well beyond the price of rent alone. There will be a deposit needed for utilities, the cost of setting up and maintaining internet access, and expenses such as furniture, kitchen supplies and moving costs. Being able to cover these costs will require a budget — the most basic of all financial tools, and the most critical for people who are starting life on their own.

It’s exciting when our children get their first job offer. The starting salary may sound great — and it may even include a signing bonus! But if they’re not thinking about how much money in taxes comes off the top first, it can be quite surprising and a substantial hit to the budget.

Let’s use the example of someone with a starting salary of $50,000. A single filer making $50,000 in 2022 falls into the 22% marginal federal tax bracket. This doesn’t include Social Security or Medicare taxes. For simplicity’s sake, let’s assume they withhold 20% for taxes out of their paycheck, so the $50,000 now drops down to $39,000 on an annualized basis or $3,250 per month. 

If the company has a 401K program that matches up to 3% of salary ($1,500 per year), they should contribute to get the “free money” from their company. (At a minimum, we recommend that they start out contributing 3% of their salary to their 401K so that they obtain the full match.) This will reduce their taxable salary from $50,000 to $48,500, since the $1,500 contribution into the 401K is not taxed. After taxes and retirement contributions, your child has to live on $3,200 per month. That amount of money must cover all other monthly expenses: rent, utilities, health insurance, car insurance, car payment, groceries, restaurants and entertainment.

This is where the budget comes into play. A great habit for them to start with is writing down everything that they spend so that they can see where the money goes and how fast it can disappear. If your adult child can stay on your health insurance (as they are allowed to do until age 26), then that will save them money each month. Once they are no longer living at home and they have a different permanent residence, they will need their own auto insurance. You also will want to make sure that they have renters’ insurance for their apartment to protect their belongings. This is relatively inexpensive, costing under $500 in many cases.

Debt is a silent killer for savings, eating away at assets each month. Credit card debt is the worst debt, with interest rates often exceeding 20%. If you have student loan and credit card debt, work on paying off the higher-interest debt first.

Student loans may take many years to pay off, so focus on eliminating credit card debt and then managing your spending going forward.

It’s important to discuss the concept of growing wealth with adult children who are starting their first jobs. As we mentioned earlier, many companies have 401Ks that match employee contributions. If a 22-year-old puts away $1,500 into a 401K every year until age 70 and earns an average of 5% annually, the value of that investment would be $300,000, not including the money from the match. The match equates to free money, and starting early sets them on a great path to earlier retirement. If their employer does not offer a 401K, starting an IRA or Roth IRA can accomplish the same goal initially.

The cost of adulting is not cheap. Buying a car, clothes for work and furniture are one-time expenses, which should be looked at as an investment and not a splurge. There will always be expenses that arise that can throw a wrench into the budget for those starting out, so we also recommend that your child begin a rainy-day fund for unexpected expenses.

Chart listing tips for saving money when starting your career
Previously published by USA Today

We are here to help you and your family with these new and exciting endeavors. At all stages of life, budgeting is critical to your financial well-being. By helping your children start early and creating a habit right out of college, you can help them experience more financial freedom as adults.

The CD Wealth Formula

We help our clients reach and maintain financial stability by following a specific plan, catered to each client. 

Our focus remains on long-term investing with a strategic allocation while maintaining a tactical approach. Our decisions to make changes are calculated and well thought out, looking at where we see the economy is heading. We are not guessing or market timing. We are anticipating and moving to those areas of strength in the economy — and in the stock market. 

We will continue to focus on the fact that what really matters right now is time in the market, not out of the market. That means staying the course and continuing to invest, even when the markets dip, to take advantage of potential market upturns. We continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been.

It is important to focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or indicator. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.  In markets and moments like these, it is essential to stick to the financial plan. Investing is about following a disciplined process over time.

Source: USA Today

Promo for article titled Are We in a Recession? Here Are the Indictors You Should be Watching

This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. CD Wealth Management and Bluespring Wealth Partners LLC* are affiliates of Kestra IS and Kestra AS. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

*Bluespring Wealth Partners, LLC acquires and supports high quality investment adviser and wealth management companies throughout the United States.

You’ve inherited an IRA. What happens next?

Prior to December 2019, if you inherited an IRA from someone who was not your spouse, you were able to take distributions from the inherited account based on your life expectancy and not the original owner’s, a strategy commonly known as a Stretch IRA. The benefit of using a Stretch IRA was that the beneficiary could stretch the taxable distributions over their lifetime, which potentially meant a lower tax bill. The rules were the same for a Roth IRA; even though the original Roth IRA owners did not have required minimum distributions, their heirs were required to withdraw the funds according to their life expectancy.

Under current tax law, the inheritance of an IRA is tax-free, but you are still required to take distributions from the account that may be taxable. When you inherit an IRA, you are free to withdraw as much of the account as you want at any time without penalty.

Stretch IRA rules changed with the passage of the SECURE Act in December 2019, however. The SECURE Act mandates that an IRA inherited from someone who is not your spouse must be depleted by Dec. 31 after the 10th anniversary of the owner’s death. For example: If you inherit an IRA this year, you will have to distribute the balance of the account by Dec. 31, 2032.

Spousal IRA beneficiaries have different rules and more options to consider when taking their required minimum distributions. As the chart below indicates, there are exceptions to the 10-year rule, such as a surviving spouse, a disabled or chronically ill person, a minor or a person who is not more than 10 years younger than the IRA account owner. These beneficiaries are not obligated to empty the IRA within 10 years but still must take their distributions. If you fall into the eligible designated beneficiary category, the inherited IRA can be taken over the life of the beneficiary (except in the case of minors). If you are a non-eligible designated beneficiary, such as someone who inherits an IRA from a parent, the 10-year rule applies.

Chart explaining the beneficiary categories in the SECURE Act of 2019

What does this mean for me?

If you inherit an IRA and are a non-eligible beneficiary, planning for taxes and how you take distributions becomes more important. Under current law, you have 10 years to deplete the entire value of the IRA. However, if you wait until the 10th year to take the entire distribution and the IRA has experienced significant growth, you may be in the highest tax bracket, having to pay almost 40% in taxes for that one year. If you take distributions over the 10 years, you may incur less tax on an annual basis, and the potential growth of the IRA may be minimized as well. As we have previously written, another way to potentially reduce taxes is to transfer up to $100,000 from an IRA directly to a qualified charity if you are 70 ½ or older.

The IRS has proposed new regulations to the SECURE Act which have yet to be approved. The proposed changes state that if you inherit a traditional IRA from someone who has already passed their required beginning date and had been taking mandatory distributions, you cannot wait until the 10th year to withdraw the money. Instead, under the proposal, you would be required take annual distributions in the first nine years and the balance in the 10th. A tax liability would occur each year from the required distribution.

The SECURE Act has brought Roth conversions into the conversation for those who want to help their heirs avoid a large tax bill. Roth conversions transfer the tax liability to the older generation, because taxes are paid when the conversion is done. If the conversion is done early in retirement, when income is low, the tax bracket may be lower and thus, lower taxes would be paid on the Roth conversion. Then the money can grow tax-free inside the Roth IRA and when the owner passes away, the money can continue to grow tax-free for an additional 10 years.

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So, what can we learn from all this? While the SECURE Act effectively eliminated the Stretch IRA, it did not eliminate the need for proper financial planning when it comes to taking distributions from an inherited IRA. We will continue to closely watch proposed legislation about the 10-year rule for inherited IRAs and ensure that our clients take the necessary distributions, if mandated by law. In the interim, we continue to analyze your situation and help you determine what makes the most sense for taxes, investments and your overall financial plan for IRA distributions.

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. As we say each week, it is important to stay the course and focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or indicator. In markets and moments like these, it is essential to stick to the financial plan.

Remember first and foremost that panic is not an investing strategy. Neither are “get in” or “get out” — those are just gambling on moments in time. Investing is about following a disciplined process over time.

At the end of the day, investors will be well-served to remove emotion from their investment decisions and remember that over a longer time horizon, markets tend to rise. Market corrections are normal, as nothing goes up in a straight line. Making market decisions based on what might happen may be detrimental to long-term performance. The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value.

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you to achieve your own specific financial goals — regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources:  Kiplinger, Investopedia, Forbes, ThinkAdvisor

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. CD Wealth Management and Bluespring Wealth Partners LLC* are affiliates of Kestra IS and Kestra AS.  Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

*Bluespring Wealth Partners, LLC acquires and supports high quality investment adviser and wealth management companies throughout the United States.

It’s tax time: What you should know before you file your return

The April 15 deadline to file federal tax returns is approaching quickly, but the practice of tax planning shouldn’t be limited to once a year. Whether you are preparing your own returns or working with a CPA, staying informed about policy changes and regularly assessing your financial situation can help you build strategies that align with your goals.

What tax documents might you need?

• W-2: If you work for an employer, this form tells you how much you earned and how much was deducted for taxes and other withholdings.
• 1099-NEC (MISC): If you are a contract employee, this form tells you how much you earned.
• 1099-INT and 1099-DIV: If you earned interest from savings or investments, you may receive this form. The 1099-DIV reports dividends and distributions from investments.
• Consolidated 1099: This brokerage tax form will show income from dividends, both qualified and non-qualified, as well as any capital gains and losses that occurred during the year.
• 1099-R: If you take a distribution from your retirement account, this form shows the amount of distribution and amount of taxes withheld.
• 5498: This form reports your total annual contributions to an IRA account and identifies the type of retirement account you have.
• 1098: If you own a home and pay mortgage interest, you will receive this form, which shows how much interest you paid and can deduct.
• 1098-T: If you have a dependent in college, you will receive this form, which reports how much qualified tuition and expense was paid during the year.
• K-1: If you have any limited partner investments, you will receive this form, which shows each partner’s share of the earnings, losses, deductions and credits.

Do you know your tax bracket?

No one wants to pay more taxes than they must. Although the tax code has been simplified over the years, it remains incredibly complex. The number of tax brackets has been reduced significantly; knowing your bracket can help you determine the most tax-efficient investments to make. As shown in the chart below, investors in a high tax bracket may choose to own municipal bonds to reduce taxable income. If you are in a low tax bracket, you may be able to take advantage of lower capital gains rates and pay less on investments sold for a gain. As always, we recommend speaking with your CPA or accountant to review your options.

Did you know that not all investments are taxed the same?

TIP: Where your returns come from matters

Chart showing tax rates for types of investments

If you are in a higher tax bracket, the following strategies may make sense:
• If over age 70, using IRA monies to make charitable distributions to help reduce taxable income
• Delaying taking Social Security income to age 70
• Lumping charitable contributions together in one year to take advantage of itemizing on taxes

If you are in a lower tax bracket, the following strategies may make sense:
• Increasing withdrawals from IRAs up to the level of the current tax bracket
• Converting an IRA to a Roth IRA in a year of lower income taxes
• Deferring income and sale of capital gain property to postpone taxable income
• Bunching medical expenses in the current year to meet the percentage of your adjusted gross income to claim those deductions

How can you maximize your savings?

Regardless of your tax bracket, tax loss harvesting is a strategy worth understanding. With current market volatility, certain investments may have unrealized losses. Tax loss harvesting is the strategy of selling securities at a loss to offset a capital gain tax liability. You do not have to wait until year-end to deploy this strategy, and harvesting losses now allows you to offset taxable gains when the market rebounds. 

Another common strategy is to maximize IRA contributions before April 15. If you currently contribute pre-tax money to a 401K and are not maximizing, consider increasing your contribution to reduce taxable income and help you long term for retirement planning. 

You also may contribute to an IRA for your spouse if he or she is not working. The contributions may not be tax-deductible if you are both working — but this could be a good long-term strategy nonetheless. If you do not have a 401K, contributing to an IRA, Roth IRA or SEP IRA may help reduce taxable income. You may be able to deduct annual contributions of up to $6,000 to your traditional IRA and $6,000 to your spouse’s IRA ($7,000 if over age 50).

Here are some steps you and your advisor can consider before the end of the year:

Chart outlining financial planning steps such as 1. Review last two years of Form 1040 to better understand impact/source of investment taxes, 2. Do you know your possible los/gain situation heading into year end? 3. Do you know your marginal and average tax rates? Don't forget state taxes. Any circumstances that might cause these to materially change> 4. Do you know when your investments distribute gains? Year end? Mid-year? 5. Do you have out of favor investments and been reluctant to sell because of the possible tax hit? Make sure your advisor analyzes all of your investment accounts to see the full picture and a complete analysis.

Tax planning is not just a once-a-year event. The chart above is a good illustration of how we are constantly evaluating current circumstances to help guide our clients with potential tax saving strategies as part of the wealth planning process. We want to ensure you that along with your CPA, we are evaluating the landscape for tax changes and strategies that may help save future dollars and keep money in your pocket.

So, what can we learn from all this? As you prepare to file your taxes before April 15, it is a perfect time to review your financial and wealth planning needs. This includes reviewing the investment portfolio, assessing ongoing tax-planning opportunities, reviewing retirement goals and managing your wealth transfer and legacy plans. The information above represents just some of the items that may apply to you and your family. We are happy to meet to discuss any of the above to ensure that you remain on track with your financial profile.

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. As we say each week, it is important to stay the course and focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or indicator.

In markets and moments like these, it is essential to stick to the financial plan.

Panic is not an investing strategy. Neither are “get in” or “get out” — those sentiments are just gambling on moments. Investing is a disciplined process, done over time. At the end of the day, investors will be well served to remove emotion from their investment decisions and to remember that over the long term, markets tend to rise. Market corrections are normal, as nothing goes up in a straight line. 

The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value.

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes that allow you to stay invested. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you to achieve your own specific financial goals — regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources: IRS, Russell Investments, U.S. News

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. CD Wealth Management and Bluespring Wealth Partners LLC* are affiliates of Kestra IS and Kestra AS.  Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

*Bluespring Wealth Partners, LLC acquires and supports high quality investment adviser and wealth management companies throughout the United States.

This year-end financial checklist will help you plan and save

As 2021 comes to an end, the time has come to review some year-end strategies to ensure that your wealth plan reflects any changes in your circumstances or your goals, the economic landscape and current tax environment. We recommend that you review the following checklist for planning strategies to consider; some may apply to you, while others may not. We recommend speaking with your CPA or accountant to review as well.

Income tax strategies

• Traditional year-end planning focuses on deferring income to a future year and accelerating deductions into the current year. However, if you anticipate that your marginal income tax rates will increase next year — whether due to increased income or changes in tax legislation — you may consider accelerating income into 2021 and deferring deductions to 2022.

• If you anticipate being in a lower taxable income bracket in 2022:

Defer income and any sale of capital gain property (if possible) to postpone taxable income.

— If you are itemizing on your tax return, bunch your medical expenses in the current year to meet the percentage of your adjusted gross income needed to claim those deductions.

— Make your January mortgage payment in December so that you can deduct the interest on your 2021 tax return.

Tax-related investment strategies

Tax-loss harvesting is the strategy of selling securities at a loss to offset a capital gain tax liability. It involves selling a taxable investment that has declined in value, replacing it with a similar investment and using the loss incurred to offset any gains. 

— Short-term losses are best used to offset short-term gains, and long-term losses can be used to offset long-term gains. Losses can help offset $3,000 of income on a joint tax return in one year.

— Be aware that the IRS wash-sale rule dictates that you must wait at least 31 days before buying back a holding that is sold for a loss.

• Make sure you have satisfied your required minimum distribution (RMD). Once you turn 72 years old, you are required to take minimum distributions from your traditional IRAs and most employer-sponsored retirement plans. 

— RMDs were not required in 2020 after Congress passed the CARES Act in response to the pandemic, but minimum distributions resumed in 2021, and failure to take them may result in a 50% penalty.

— You may have an RMD for an inherited IRA, depending on when you inherited it. (Tax laws have changed for newly inherited IRAs.) 

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Retirement planning strategies

• Maximize your IRA contributions. You may be able to deduct annual contributions of up to $6,000 to your traditional IRA and $6,000 to your spouse’s IRA ($7,000 if over age 50).

• Make a Roth contribution if you qualify under the applicable income limits.

• Consider increasing or maximizing your 401(k) contribution. For 2021, the maximum is $19,500 for those who are younger than 50 and $26,000 for those who are 50 or older.

• Consider contributing to a Roth 401(k) plan if your plan allows.

• Consider setting up a Roth IRA for each of your children who have earned income during the year.

• Determine the optimal time to begin taking Social Security benefits if you over age 62. 

Gifting strategies

• Consider making gifts up to $15,000 per person as allowed under the federal annual gift tax exclusion. In 2022, the gift tax exclusion is projected to increase to $16,000 per person.

• Take advantage of the ability to deduct up to 100% of adjusted gross income (AGI) for a cash gift to a public charity in 2021. 

• Create a donor advised fund for an immediate income tax deduction and provide immediate and future benefits to a charity over time.

• If you already have a donor advised fund, consider gifting appreciated assets that have been held longer than one year to get the fair market value income tax deduction while avoiding income tax on the appreciation.

• Combine multiple years of charitable giving into a single year to exceed the standard deduction threshold.

• If you are over age 70 ½ (or 72, depending on your date of birth), consider making a direct transfer from an IRA to a public charity. The distribution is excludable from gross income. 

Wrapping up 2021, planning for 2022

• Work with your CPA to provide capital gains and investment income information for a more accurate year-end projection.

• Check your Health Savings Account contributions for 2021. If you qualify, you can contribute up to $3,600 (individual) or $7,200 (family), plus an additional $1,000 catch-up if you are over 55.

• Discuss major life events with CD Wealth Management to confirm you have clarity in your current situation.

• Double-check your beneficiary designations for employer-sponsored retirement plans, IRAs, Roth IRAs, annuities, life insurance policies, etc.

• Review that you have a trusted contact on each of your accounts to help protect assets against fraud. 

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So, what can we learn from all this? The end of year is a perfect time to review your financial planning needs. This includes reviewing the investment portfolio, assessing year-end tax planning opportunities, reviewing retirement goals and managing your wealth transfer and legacy plans. The checklist above includes just some of the items that may apply to your family. We are happy to meet to discuss any of the above to ensure that you remain on track with your financial profile.

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. Making market decisions based on what might happen may be detrimental to long-term performance. The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value. As we say each week, it is important to stay the course and focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or indicator.

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes that allow you to stay invested. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you to achieve your own specific financial goals — regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources: BNY Mellon, Forbes, RBC

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS are not affiliated with CD Wealth Management. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

The RMD deadline is looming — here’s what you need to know

As we approach the end of the year, now is a good time to take a closer look at required minimum distributions (RMDs). Required minimum distributions apply to retirement accounts such as IRAs, SEP plans and Simple IRAs, as well as 401(k)s, 403(b)s, 457(b)s, profit-sharing plans and other defined contribution plans. Money that is invested in retirement accounts is not tax-free; it grows tax-deferred over time, and the government has rules about when it must be taken out. 

What are RMDs?

Once you turn 72 years old, you are required to take minimum distributions from your traditional IRAs and most employer-sponsored retirement plans. You can always take more than the minimum amount if you choose. You also can take money out of your retirement account before age 72 (penalty-free after age 59½). However, there is a minimum amount that must be taken each year at age 72, whether you have taken money out before that age or not. Failing to take the full amount of the RMD could result in a penalty tax of 50% on the difference. For example, if your RMD is $5,000, and you fail take that amount out of your plan, you could face a $2,500 penalty!

Generally, RMDs must be taken by Dec. 31 each year. You are allowed to delay the first RMD until April 1 after the year in which you reach RMD age — but in that case, you will need to take two RMDs in one year, with the second coming by Dec. 31. Taking two distributions in one year might bump you into a higher income tax bracket, so this often is not the recommended approach.

How much do I have to withdraw each year?

The amount changes each year, according to your age. The first step is to calculate the Dec. 31 balance for your retirement accounts. Next, find your age in the IRS uniform lifetime table and the corresponding distribution period. (The distribution period is an estimate of how many years you will be taking RMDs.) Divide the balance by the distribution period to determine the RMD. In the example below, the ending balance of the retirement accounts is $958,405. At 74 years of age, the distribution period is 23.8. Therefore, the RMD would be $40,269, the minimum amount that must be withdrawn from the accounts for the year. This amount is taxed as ordinary income. 

You are allowed to take the entire RMD out of one account, even if you have several retirement accounts, or you can take it from several retirement accounts — as long as you withdraw the required minimum amount in total.

Graphic showing how RMDs are calculated

Exceptions to RMDs

There is one exception when it comes to 401(k) RMDs. If you are still working for the company sponsoring your plan by the time you turn the required age and you don’t own 5% or more of that company, you may be able to avoid RMDs. However, not all plans allow this, so you need to double-check with the plan administrator. Once you leave the company, you will need to start taking withdrawals from your 401(k). Please keep in mind that this exception applies to 401(k)s only.  If you have an IRA in addition to your 401(k), you will need to take your RMD regardless of whether you are still working or not.

Recent RMD rule changes and complexities

The SECURE Act of 2019 raised the RMD age from 70½ to 72 beginning in 2020. That means if you reached age 70½ before 2020, you are currently taking RMDs. Then came the pandemic, and in 2020, Congress passed the CARES Act. One of the purposes of this act was to help individuals manage financial challenges brought on by the pandemic, and RMDs were waived for 2020 — including any that were postponed in 2019. Please note that RMDs have resumed for 2021 and must be taken this year; the CARES Act applied to 2020 only.

The IRS has issued new life expectancy tables designed to help investors stretch their retirement savings over a longer period. These new tables take effect for RMDs beginning in 2022. What does this mean for you? This will typically lead to lower annual RMD amounts and potentially lower income tax obligations. However, if the portfolio balance of your retirement accounts continues to grow, then the amount you must take as a distribution also may continue to grow.

How to minimize the tax impact of RMDs

An individual donor can contribute up to $100,000 per year in qualified charitable donations (QCDs) if the individual is 70½ or older. In married couples, each spouse can make QCDs up to $100,000 for a potential total of $200,000. QCDs can be made only to certain qualified charitable organizations; they cannot be made to donor-advised funds. If a donor makes a QCD that exceeds the individual’s RMD, the extra distribution cannot be carried over (i.e., used to meet the minimum distribution in following years).

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So, what can we learn from all this? An RMD is the smallest amount you must withdraw from your tax-deferred retirement accounts every year after a certain age. If you have multiple retirement accounts, you can withdraw money from each account or from one account, as long as you withdraw the total required minimum. Each dollar withdrawn as part of the RMD is ordinary income. If you have charitable donations and are over the age of 70, using part or all of your RMD can be a great planning tool. (You will need to make sure the funds go directly from the retirement account to the charitable organization.)

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. Making market decisions based on what might happen may be detrimental to long-term performance. The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value. As we say each week, it is important to stay the course and focus on the long-term goal — not on one specific data point or indicator.

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes that allow you to stay invested. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you to achieve your own specific financial goals — regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources: Fidelity, AARP, Broadridge

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS are not affiliated with CD Wealth Management. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

Biden’s revised spending bill: What you need to know

Last week, President Biden announced the framework for the “Build Back Better” spending bill and outlined the plan to pay for it. The proposed bill stands at roughly $1.75 trillion, far less than the original $3 trillion. The social spending package focuses heavily on climate change, green energy provisions, childcare programs, expanded Medicare benefits and health care coverages, and universal kindergarten.

The chart below summarizes how the spending package would be funded: a new 15% minimum tax for corporations, a tax on corporate stock buybacks, investing in the IRS to boost enforcement, and a new surtax of 5% on individual income greater than $10 million with an additional 3% on income greater than $25 million.

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Proposals left in

Surtax on wealthy individuals: A 5% surtax would apply to individuals with income over $10 million. An additional 3% surtax would apply to income over $25 million.

Left in, but revised

Corporate tax rate: The House bill proposed a new top corporate tax rate of 26.5%. That was replaced in the compromise bill with a 15% minimum tax to ensure that no corporations can use loopholes and incentives in the tax code to pay a lower rate.

Taken out

Individual income tax rates: The House bill proposed increasing the top rate from 37% to 39.6% for individuals over $400,000 in income, but the proposal was dropped from the compromise bill.

Capital gains: The House bill proposed a new top rate on capital gains and dividends of 25% for individuals with more than $400,000 in income (vs. the current 0%, 15%, and 20%, depending on income), but the proposal was dropped from the compromise bill.

Estate tax: The House bill would have dropped the amount of inherited assets exempt from the estate tax from the current level of $11.7 million to about $6 million, but the proposal was dropped from the compromise bill.

Roth IRA conversions: The House bill would have prohibited Roth IRA conversions for both traditional IRAs and employer-sponsored plans for taxpayers with incomes above $400,000, but the proposal was dropped from the compromise bill.

Roth conversion limits: The House bill would have prohibited Roth IRA conversions for wealthier taxpayers beginning in 2032. That provision was dropped from the compromise bill.

Cap on aggregate retirement account balances: The House bill proposed that individuals with more than $10 million in tax-advantaged retirement accounts would be required to take required minimum distributions (RMDs), regardless of their age. That proposal was dropped from the compromise bill.

Billionaires’ tax on unrealized gains: An idea was floated in the Senate to levy an annual tax on unrealized gains for individuals with $1 billion or more in assets. But the plan did not attract enough support and was scrapped.

Taken out (for now)

State and Local Tax (SALT) Deduction: A group of lawmakers has been pushing to increase the $10,000 cap on the deduction for state and local taxes, which was imposed in 2017. While the provision was not included in the compromise bill, these lawmakers have said that they will continue to push for an increase in the cap. Democratic leaders have not yet ruled that out.

+++

For investors, the big news is that almost all the proposed tax increases that would have affected income, capital gains and estate taxes were dropped. Both the House and the Senate still must pass the revised bill, so more changes could be coming. We will continue to watch this very closely, and we will keep you apprised of major developments. If the bill passes, most individuals will not see any tax increases.

The new tax plan appears to pose less of a risk to equities than the plan that previously had been proposed. Even with all the talk of potential equity valuations, hyperinflation and Fed tapering, money has continued to flow into bond funds in comparison to equity funds, as the chart below shows. Over the last 12 years, bond funds have seen inflows of $3.34T, compared to equity inflows of only $.36T. If the fund flows were to reverse and equity inflows caught up with bond fund inflows, the equity markets could sustain the current rally.

Chart showing stock vs. bonds flows over time since 2009

So, what can we learn from all this? We continue to believe that it is better to plan than to predict. Building a plan to achieve one’s financial goals across a range of outcomes is the best practice, rather than being solely focused on what may happen if taxes increase.

Changes to your plan make sense only if they are in line with your goals; a well-built plan should provide guardrails and forestall emotional reactions when markets do not go the way we hope.

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. Making market decisions based on what might happen may be detrimental to long-term performance. The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value. More and more noise is creeping into the markets today – worries about inflation, higher energy prices, slower growth, possible stagflation, etc. 

The amount of liquidity in the markets remains at record levels. While questions do exist today about the state of the economy, many positives remain about our global economy. As we say each week, it is important to stay the course, focusing on the long-term goal and not on one specific data point or indicator.

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes that allow you to stay invested. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you to achieve your own specific financial goals — regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources: Investment Company Institute, Schwab

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS are not affiliated with CD Wealth Management. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

Great news for retirees: Social Security gets a huge boost

Millions of retirees received great news this last week: Social Security and Supplemental Security Income will get a 5.9% boost in benefits for 2022. This is the largest cost-of-living adjustment in almost 40 years. For the past 10 years, the annual average inflation adjustment has been 1.65%.

Roughly 50% of all seniors live in households where Social Security provides at least half of their income, and 25% rely on their monthly payments for all their income. With the increase for 2022, the average Social Security payment for a retired worker will be $1,657 per month, and a typical couple’s benefit would rise by $154 to $2,753 per month. The large increase will help retirees keep up with the rising costs of food, gas and other goods and services, as the current CPI — measuring the year-over-year change in consumer prices — is up 5.4%. 

Graphic showing Social Security benefit increases since 1990

How does Social Security work — and how do I access my statement?

Social Security is financed by payroll taxes that are collected from workers and their employers. Both employees and employers pay 6.2% on wages, up to a maximum amount, which is adjusted yearly for inflation. (In 2022, the maximum amount will be $147,000.) The payroll taxes are paid into the Social Security system so that at retirement age, any time after age 62, workers who are entitled to benefits can decide if they want to begin taking Social Security or delay taking benefits up until age 70. For every year you delay taking benefits between age 62 and 70, the estimated monthly payment grows by about 8%. As part of the financial planning process, we discuss taking Social Security at age 67 versus age 70 because while each situation is different, the break-even scenario is age 81. This means that if you live past age 81, you would be better off financially if you wait until age 70 to begin taking Social Security benefits.

In 2011, the Social Security Administration stopped mailing annual statements to people’s homes. To access your statement, go to www.ssa.gov and create an account if you have not already done so. Page 2 of the statement (shown below) includes a summary of the estimated retirement, disability, family survivors and Medicare benefits based on the average earnings over a person’s entire work history. These benefits are not adjusted for inflation and are reported in current dollars, not future dollars. In other words, there are no inflation adjustments being applied to the benefit amounts, even though they may not be claimed for many years. The main area to study is the retirement section, where you can view the payment amounts if you take benefits at age 62, 66 or 67 (depending on your date of birth) and at age 70.

Sample of Page 2 of the Social Security statement

It is important to review the earnings record on Page 3 of the Social Security statement (shown below). Your benefits are based on the 35 calendar years in which your income was the highest. If you have fewer than 35 years of earnings, each year with no earnings will be entered as zero. Years with zero income can be replaced with higher-income years in the future. We recommend reviewing this page to make sure the annual income reported is accurate. In the event of an error or omission, you should gather evidence (W-2s, pay stubs or tax returns) and contact the Social Security Administration to have it corrected.

Sample of Page 3 of the Social Security statement

Social Security benefits that you receive at retirement are not tax-free. A married couple with a combined income of more than $32,000 may have to pay income tax on up to 50% of their benefits. Higher-income earners may have to pay tax on up to 85% of their benefits. Depending on where you live, you also may have to pay state income taxes on your benefits.

Married people can take what is called a spousal benefit, worth up to 50% of the other spouse’s Social Security benefit. If one spouse is a high wage earner and the other has not worked or has a very low Social Security benefit, taking half of the higher earner’s benefit may result in higher monthly income at retirement.

So, what can we learn from all this? Social Security benefits are an important part of most retirement plans. Even in situations where individuals are fortunate enough to avoid relying on benefits, you still should ensure you receive the correct amount. Reviewing your benefits is a critical step of the financial planning process.

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. Making market decisions based on what might happen may be detrimental to long-term performance. The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value. 

More and more noise is creeping into the markets today – worries about inflation, higher energy prices, slower growth, possible stagflation, etc. The amount of liquidity in the markets remains at record levels. There still exists a chance that we will see additional stimulus into the economy through an infrastructure package and possibly even a social spending package. While questions do exist about the state of the economy, there remain many positives about our global economy and reasons to be optimistic. As we say each week, it is important to stay the course and focus on the long-term goal, not on one specific data point or one indicator.

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes that allow you to stay invested. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you achieve your own specific financial goals, regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources: Associated Press, CNBC, Kitces

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment Advisory Services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS) an affiliate of Kestra IS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS are not affiliated with CD Wealth Management. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

The market’s moving: Keeping up with China, Washington and COVID

Global stocks started the week with the worst daily performance since May as investors digested the news over the weekend about the troubled Chinese property market. China Evergrande Group, the world’s most indebted property developer, is at risk of default this week on its debt payments. The potential long-term fallout from Evergrande’s liquidity crisis is unknown — as is any potential spillover to other financial markets. We also do not know how the Chinese government may act to bail out the real estate behemoth. Monday’s sell-off briefly pushed the S&P 500 to 5% below its last record on an intraday basis for the first time since October 2020 (see chart below). 

Chart showing stock market performance since July 2020

Several other factors also are affecting the current market environment, and we will address each of them below:

1. Angst in Washington over the upcoming expiration of the borrowing limit (debt ceiling) and a potential government shutdown

2. New proposed tax increases

3. Lingering inflationary worries and when the Fed’s tapering may start

4. The effect of the Delta variant on the economy

Angst in Washington

If Congress fails to raise the borrowing limit, the U.S. government would default for the first time. “The U.S. has never defaulted. Not once,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said. “Doing so would likely precipitate a historic financial crisis that would compound the damage of the continuing public health emergency.” The deadline to avoid both a government shutdown and the debt ceiling issue is a moving target. Raising or suspending the debt ceiling does not authorize additional spending, but it increases the spending limit, similar to a credit card. 

Proposed Tax Increases

As we wrote about last week, the House Ways & Means committee proposed tax increases on the wealthy to help fund a $3.5 trillion economic package. Remember, these are just proposed tax increases and not law.  The main tax increases in the proposal are: 

* Raise the top individual tax rate from 37% to 39.6%.

* Apply a 3% surtax on incomes greater than $5 million.

* Raise the long-term capital gains tax rate to 25% for couples making more than $450,000.

Chart showing details of tax rate pproposals

Inflation

Inflation remains on the forefront of consumers’ minds as prices of many goods and services continue to rise due to lack of inventory and empty shelves caused by shipping delay and costs out of China. The Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, has stated on numerous occasions that the Fed believes inflation to be transitory – meaning temporary. His reasoning is as follows: 

* It’s not broad based. Inflation is concentrated in a few sectors that were hit hardest by the pandemic.

* The biggest price surges already are receding. Lumber and used car prices are now stabilizing or dropping after rocketing higher.

* Wages are rising, but not faster than productivity gains.

* Globally, price pressures are downward with an aging population and advancements in technology. 

The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day meeting this week and the focus remains on when the Fed will begin to taper its purchases. As we wrote about recently, “tapering” is a term that describes the process of gradually stopping asset purchases. When the Fed begins to taper, it purchases fewer bonds, which reduces additional money flowing into the economy, in hopes of slowing economic growth. All of this is done with the focus on controlling inflation and the economy. The Federal Reserve Bank tries to signal its intentions and be transparent with the hope that the impact to the financial markets is minimized.

COVID

Chart showing U.S. COVID cases since February 2020

Due to the Delta variant, COVID cases remain near January levels. As colder weather approaches and flu season ramps up, the fear is that COVID variants could continue to slow economic growth. Future GDP forecast is expected to decline from recent highs — but it’s not expected to be derailed by COVID. 

So, what can we learn from all this? The current stock market continues to digest a multitude of economic messages: a potential default by China Evergrande group, inflationary pressures, proposed tax hikes, the Federal Reserve’s plans to start tapering and increase rates, and the ongoing global pandemic. It is important to focus on the long-term goal — and not to focus on only one data point or indicator. 

From a portfolio perspective, we continue to adhere to the tried-and-true disciplines of diversification, periodic rebalancing and looking forward, while not making investment decisions based on where we have been. Making market decisions based on what might happen may be detrimental to long-term performance. The key is to stay invested and stick with the financial plan. Markets go up and down over time, and downturns present opportunities to purchase stocks at a lower value. 

It all starts with a solid financial plan for the long run that understands the level of risk that is acceptable for each client. Regarding investments, we believe in diversification and having different asset classes that allow you to stay invested. The best option is to stick with a broadly diversified portfolio that can help you to achieve your own specific financial goals — regardless of market volatility. Long-term fundamentals are what matter.

Sources: CNBC, Reuters, Schwab, BEA Conference Board

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This material contains an assessment of the market and economic environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance, or achievements may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Information is based on data gathered from what we believe are reliable sources.

Using diversification as part of your investment strategy neither assures nor guarantees better performance and cannot protect against loss of principal due to changing market conditions.

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

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